Here is my round up list of players I think you should not overrate in your draft. These are the type of players that you should probably let fall to a later round if you’re in a good position to do so (or let someone else draft them high), but these are still draft worthy players overall of course.
Corey Perry – A combo of Selanne for a whole year(?), Ryan Carter, Bobby Ryan and newly aquired Brendan Morrison. Expect the goal scoring to be a bit more spread out, but still on a not so great goal scoring team.
Slava Kozlov – Kozlov is heading on the downside of his career, and on a bad team to boot.
Patrice Bergeron – Back from a major injury. Expect a slow start and mediocre season overall
Maxim Afinogenov – Not as good as he looks. The Sabres have so many other better players.
Milan Hejduk – He is always overrated. Just remember he’s not playing with Forsberg anymore.
Mike Ribeiro – Brad Richards is in town and will steal a lot of his shine.
Johan Franzen – Wings are too top heavy, so I wouldn’t expect that monster year like everyone is predicting, unless this team can score over 300 goals…meh, maybe. Someone you want for +/- and power play production first and foremost.
Dustin Brown – He Played a bit above himself last season. I think he’ll come back down to earth just a tad bit this season.
Pierre-Marc Bouchard – Not a player suited for the Wild style, so don’t expect the breakout season to finally come.
Alex Kovalev – Kovalev is a great player. I don’t trust his competitiveness, though.
Brian Rolston – The Devils can’t score. He’ll get his share, but nothing really worthy to write home about.
Simon Gagne – Coming off a season ending injury last season. He’ll put up respectable numbers with Briere if he stays healthy, but don’t expect him to reach the level he was at a couple of years ago just yet.
Vaclav Prospal – Same effect as Corey Perry. He’ll fall victim because of the team’s new depth. Tampa won’t be so top heavy like recent seasons.
Ryan Malone – This is a hunch. I don’t think Malone is a good fit for Tampa, but since he is such a warrior and works hard, he’ll get his 20.
Michael Nylander – Coming off an injury on a newer looking/rejuvenated Capitals team.
Tobias Enstrom – Hainsey is that go to D-man now, and Enstrom showed signs of slowing down in the latter half of last season.
Brent Seabrook – Brent has offensive upside and showed he can put up decent numbers, but with Brian Campbell now back there and the emergence of Cam Barker, watch his numbers drop some. Expect that +/- to still be solid.
Marek Zidlicky – I just don’t think he’ll fit in with a defensive minded team. At least from a production standpoint
Mark Streit – From number 1 power play to arguably the worst offense with a lackluster power play. Streit got a lot of his production from that awesome Montreal power play in recent seasons.
Michal Rozsival – Wade Redden
Bryan MCcabe – Lackluster offense with better defenseman than him on the team.
J.S Giguere – I’m not big on the Ducks and Giguere this year. Straight up hunch.
Kari Lehtonen – Great potential still with no one in front of him to help.
Tomas Vokoun – He was a great goalie on a decent team last season. This season I think he’ll be just a good goalie, but on a bad team.